Games State Application and Telegram BOT Strategy

As part of the Trade on Sports Football Silver and Gold services we have a Unique Game State Application that calculates the probabilities of another goal being scored if we get a goal in the 1^st half. Probabilities are calculated using 5 years of historic data plus the current season for the particular league. We have a few core strategies we provide to users. One of which is betting overs at half time based on the goal probabilities for that score and league. So if the score was 0-1 we would drip bet over 1.5 goals if the stats lined up

Here we have used the following parameters

The goal expectancy based on previous game state stats has to be at least 80%

We then go forward to the 70^th minute and the goal expectancy based on the previous game state stats for that league has to be at least 70%

Members can see on a web application when the probabilities have been hit and the strategy is a go and or they can be notified directly in telegram so don’t need to be sitting at their computer waiting via a Trade on Sports Telegram BOT.

An example of this can be found below

*** GamesState HT Drip Overs ***

English Premier League Watford v Man City

Mins: 45 Score: 0 – 1

gPlus: 84.21 gPlusAt70: 70.0

So at Half time in the Watford v Man City game the score was 0-1 to Man City.

In the last 5 seasons in the Premier League when the away team opened the scoring between the 40^th & 45^th minute 84.21 percent of the matches contained a further goal and when we go forward to the 70^th minute there was a further goal in 70% of the matches if the score remains 0-1.

We have come up with a staking plan where a third of the total stakes are placed at Half Time, then the 65^th minute and finally the 78^th minute.

During this test period we have also allocated the following prices to this time period Missing. Obviously on some games these prices can be larger or smaller.

We have tested this strategy since 1^st of October and the Bot has fired out 103 selections, It has given 89 games where there has been a further goal and 14 losers, a strike rate of 85%.

If staking up to 1pt a game splitting it up to staking 0.33.33 at Halftime, 65  & 78 minutes until a goal is scored. It has shown a profit of 10.83 pts. So if placing £100 on each game we would theoretically be in pocket by £1083 which is a very good Return on Investment.

A detailed spreadsheet highlighting the above can be downloaded HERE

The Game State Application is part of the Trade on Sports service and a video giving an example of how to utilise the application can be found below.

Additionally outside of Trade on Sports the guy that game up with the data model for the app runs his own facebook site that can be found HERE