We are now less than 3 weeks away from the start of the 2019 WTA & ATP Season and here at Trade on Sports we will be entering our fourth season.
As well as the Trading Manual, Telegram Room and Application we have what we call our Red & Blue selections.
Essentially the Red selections suggest that the player should be opposed (Layed) and does not offer any value. Whilst the Blues should be backed and offer value.
Initially these selections where seen as trading aids the idea being the reds could be layed at the start of a match and the Blues could be backed at the start of a match.
However we needed to measure how well the service was doing so in the first season of operations we recorded the Red selections as straight lay bets.
For those that do not know what the term Lay means it means opposing the selection and mainly this is done on the betting exchanges.
For example if a Red selection is priced at 1.50 you are risking 0.50 pts for every 1. If the selection is priced at 1.42 you are risking 0.42 pts for every 1.
To put this in monetary terms should you lay a 1.50 selection for £10 If the selection loses you Win £10 and should the selection win then you lose .50 of your stake which in this case is £5.00
So in other words you are risking £5 to win £10
During the second and third season we recorded the results of both the reds and blues which are presented below.
Reds
2016
499 Bets laying to win 1 pt, 153 Winners, 346 Losers, 207.06 Pts Staked +14.57pts, ROI 7.03% ROI
If Laying to £10 liability per Bet +£465.68, ROI 9.33%
2017
607 Bets laying to win 1 pt, 222 Winners, 385 Losers, 272.88 Pts Staked +53.16 pts, ROI 19.48% ROI
If Laying to £10 liability per Bet +£1326.70, ROI 21.85%
2018
491 Bets laying to win 1 pt, 169 Winners, 322 Losers, 248.57 Pts Staked +11.40 pts, ROI 4.59% ROI
If Laying to £10 liability per Bet +£126.36, ROI 2.57%
Reds Total 3 seasons
1597 Bets laying to win 1 pt, 544 Winners, 1053 Losers, 728.51Pts Staked +79.13 pts, ROI 10.86% ROI
If Laying to £10 liability per Bet +£1918.74, ROI 12.01%
Blues
2017
502 Bets, 266 Winners, 236 Losers, +38.16 Pts, ROI 7.60% ROI
2018
326 Bets, 164 Winners, 162 Losers, +1.17 Pts 0.35% ROI
Blue total 2 seasons
828 Bets, 430 Winners, 398 Losers, +39.33 Pts 4.75% ROI
Now that we have had 3 seasons of results that have all been proofed top the Smart Betting Club we took a look at the overall results.
For betting purposes from next season when looking at how the Red & Blue selections have performed in the major tournaments we found that these events have a big favourite bias. So we analysed the Red results and after removing the Major tournaments and this gave the following
Red Selections excluding the Major Tournaments
2016
381 Bets laying to win 1 pt, 127 Winners, 254 Losers, 165.52 Pts Staked +20.92 pts, ROI 12.65% ROI
If Laying to £10 liability per Bet +£725.26, ROI 19.03%
2017
476 Bets laying to win 1 pt, 184 Winners, 292 Losers, 216.86 Pts Staked +54.96pts, ROI 25.34% ROI
If Laying to £10 liability per Bet +£1410.69, ROI 29.63%
2018
410 Bets laying to win 1 pt, 154 Winners, 256 Losers, 210.08 Pts Staked +26.99 pts, ROI 12.84% ROI
If Laying to £10 liability per Bet +£479.30, ROI 11.69%
Reds Total 3 seasons excluding Major Tournaments
1267 Bets laying to win 1 pt, 465 Winners, 802 Losers, 592.46 Pts Staked +102.87 pts, ROI 17.36% ROI
If Laying to £10 liability per Bet +£2615.25, ROI 20.64%
MEMBERS ADVICE 2019
So to summarise next season Trade on Tennis members will receive the following.
They will receive an email with a link to the App which shows that days trading sheet, which will highlight the Reds & Blues
They will then receive a follow up email with a PDF of that Days Notes.
This year we are advising members to Just bet on the Reds by either laying to 1pt or a fixed liability or backing the opponent to 1pt. However we do not advise doing this during the Australian, French Wimbledon and US Majors
Along with the Trade on Tennis Trading Manual and our active Tennis trading room which is run by our head trader Matt Haynes 2019 promises to be a great year.
Matt will also be running guided training sessions on Fridays throughout the season.
If you would like the detailed results of the above please email admin@tradeonsports.co.uk
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